Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 3.153909 3.521816 3.920017 4.383783 4.910011 5.489636 6.177896
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 2.678969 3.181319 3.763711 4.491743 5.381565 6.438895 7.798063
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 2.340988 2.910244 3.605074 4.521666 5.707976 7.203666 9.251367
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 2.097405 2.705652 3.479764 4.547038 5.995578 7.914998 10.687418
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 1.907341 2.538923 3.371894 4.564790 6.252027 8.587385 12.124709
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1.712844 2.341574 3.196347 4.461065 6.314929 8.980482 13.190654
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1.576509 2.208268 3.091392 4.438003 6.478531 9.518958 14.515144
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1.454553 2.082648 2.983042 4.394163 6.598515 9.992959 15.780317
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1.407280 2.060123 3.020179 4.567468 7.061183 11.034023 18.072625
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1.321500 1.972027 2.950103 4.565398 7.241105 11.634002 19.687776
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1.237680 1.879817 2.865197 4.529797 7.358548 12.135460 21.180894
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1.117337 1.721658 2.664636 4.287516 7.104206 11.973384 21.445959
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1.058320 1.658733 2.614354 4.295825 7.288836 12.610504 23.307425
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.023332 1.632152 2.621087 4.401448 7.654691 13.611655 26.004709
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.977048 1.583278 2.586456 4.430718 7.883095 14.379199 28.334734
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.933994 1.536592 2.551599 4.455521 8.103539 15.151395 30.774208
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.893294 1.490970 2.514872 4.472874 8.309598 15.913953 33.293192
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.837326 1.414968 2.419073 4.371486 8.272454 16.178448 34.737997
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.797843 1.365531 2.367266 4.348944 8.389250 16.770386 37.006938
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.758454 1.313767 2.307636 4.306089 8.459610 17.269045 39.122317
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.750758 1.319167 2.353842 4.475492 8.988357 18.820953 44.029505
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.720946 1.281691 2.316683 4.473469 9.149725 19.568600 47.026546
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.689066 1.238429 2.265618 4.438670 9.235656 20.151250 49.680292